Milwaukee Bucks 111 @ 137 Detroit Pistons

April 08, 2026 | Little Caesars Arena | Final

Grade: C Prediction Recap
Winner: Correct

Called the winner at least. The scores... we don't talk about the scores.

MIL DET Total
Predicted 97 116 213
Actual 111 137 248
Diff -14 -21 -35
Nailed It PTS within 3, REB/AST within 2
AJ Green Pred: 14/3/2 | Actual: 13/4/2
Andre Jackson Jr. Pred: 5/2/1 | Actual: 4/2/0
Chaz Lanier Pred: 2/0/0 | Actual: 3/2/1
Thanasis Antetokounmpo Pred: 2/1/0 | Actual: 0/0/0
Wendell Moore Jr. Pred: 2/1/1 | Actual: 0/0/1
Missed By a Mile PTS off by 10+
Ronald Holland II Pred: 8pts | Actual: 18pts (off by 10)

Milwaukee Bucks

Player Pos MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TOV PF FG FG% 3P 3P% FT FT% +/-
AJ Green SG 30:09 13 4 2 0 0 0 4 4-9 44.4 4-8 50.0 1-1 100.0 -18.0
Ousmane Dieng SF 26:43 17 5 4 0 0 3 2 6-13 46.2 4-8 50.0 1-2 50.0 -20.0
Ryan Rollins PG 32:49 23 2 6 2 1 3 2 8-19 42.1 1-6 16.7 6-6 100.0 -10.0
Taurean Prince PF 27:35 15 2 2 0 1 1 1 5-10 50.0 5-8 62.5 0-0 0.0 -7.0
Jericho Sims C 38:32 11 11 10 2 0 2 4 3-6 50.0 0-0 0.0 5-8 62.5 -20.0
Giannis Antetokounmpo DNP - Inactive
Alex Antetokounmpo 4:06 5 3 0 0 1 0 0 0-1 0.0 0-1 0.0 5-7 71.4 2.0
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 4:06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0-1 0.0 0-1 0.0 0-0 0.0 2.0
Gary Harris 8:00 0 1 1 1 0 0 2 0-0 0.0 0-0 0.0 0-0 0.0 -12.0
Andre Jackson Jr. 6:26 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 1-2 50.0 0-1 0.0 2-2 100.0 1.0
Kyle Kuzma DNP - Inactive
Pete Nance 17:59 0 2 0 0 0 0 4 0-4 0.0 0-3 0.0 0-0 0.0 -21.0
Kevin Porter Jr. DNP - Inactive
Bobby Portis DNP - Inactive
Cormac Ryan 24:30 16 0 0 0 1 2 2 6-9 66.7 3-6 50.0 1-1 100.0 -11.0
Gary Trent Jr. 19:03 7 0 1 0 0 2 3 3-12 25.0 0-8 0.0 1-1 100.0 -16.0
Myles Turner DNP - Inactive

Detroit Pistons

Player Pos MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TOV PF FG FG% 3P 3P% FT FT% +/-
Duncan Robinson SG 24:23 20 1 3 1 0 1 1 8-13 61.5 4-8 50.0 0-0 0.0 6.0
Ausar Thompson SF 24:23 10 4 4 2 2 0 1 4-6 66.7 0-1 0.0 2-2 100.0 3.0
Cade Cunningham PG 25:40 13 5 10 1 1 3 3 6-11 54.5 1-2 50.0 0-0 0.0 12.0
Tobias Harris PF 23:08 10 5 3 1 1 2 2 3-8 37.5 2-3 66.7 2-2 100.0 9.0
Jalen Duren C 27:35 21 9 3 0 1 1 1 8-9 88.9 0-0 0.0 5-7 71.4 24.0
Javonte Green 15:41 8 5 0 1 1 0 0 2-4 50.0 1-2 50.0 3-3 100.0 19.0
Ronald Holland II 21:40 18 3 2 2 1 1 6 6-10 60.0 3-4 75.0 3-3 100.0 22.0
Kevin Huerter DNP - Inactive
Daniss Jenkins 20:21 9 5 6 0 0 1 0 1-6 16.7 1-3 33.3 6-6 100.0 20.0
Isaac Jones DNP - Inactive
Chaz Lanier 6:04 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 1-3 33.3 1-3 33.3 0-0 0.0 -1.0
Caris LeVert 19:38 7 3 4 1 2 1 0 2-4 50.0 1-2 50.0 2-2 100.0 17.0
Wendell Moore Jr. 5:05 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0-0 0.0 0-0 0.0 0-0 0.0 -1.0
Paul Reed 9:39 10 3 1 0 1 0 2 4-4 100.0 0-0 0.0 2-3 66.7 4.0
Marcus Sasser 5:05 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0-2 0.0 0-2 0.0 0-0 0.0 -1.0
Tolu Smith 0:57 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0-1 0.0 0-0 0.0 0-0 0.0 -2.0
Isaiah Stewart 10:36 8 1 0 0 0 2 3 3-3 100.0 0-0 0.0 2-2 100.0 -1.0
Add Analysis Entry
General Slate Analysis: MIL @ DET
Apr 08, 2026 at 09:18 AM
**Prediction:** MIL 97 - DET 116 (DET by 18, total 213) **Confidence:** 96% **MIL** 31-48 (#11) | Net: -6.1 | Off: 110.4 | Def: 116.4 | Rest: B2B **DET** 57-22 (#1) | Net: 7.5 | Off: 113.7 | Def: 106.2 | Rest: 1d rest Projected pace: 101.1 **Injuries:** MIL: Giannis Antetokounmpo (Out), Kyle Kuzma (Day-To-Day), Kevin Porter Jr. (Out), Bobby Portis (Out), Ryan Rollins (Day-To-Day), Gary Trent Jr. (Out), Myles Turner (Day-To-Day) (impact: -9.3 pts) DET: Cade Cunningham (Out), Isaiah Stewart (Out) (impact: -7.6 pts) **Key Players:** MIL: Ryan Rollins 18.3p/4.0r/5.9a | AJ Green 14.1p/3.0r/2.0a | Kyle Kuzma 11.1p/4.4r/2.2a DET: Jalen Duren 19.7p/12.7r/3.1a | Tobias Harris 16.8p/5.8r/3.4a | Duncan Robinson 15.4p/3.4r/2.4a **Value Bets:** TOTAL UNDER 221.5 (strong, EV $0.349/dollar) TOTAL UNDER 220.5 (moderate, EV $0.342/dollar) **Applicable Insights:** - [model] PROP TRAP: Season-avg-based unders on role players from depleted/tanking teams are unreliable. When star players are out - [model] PROP CALIBRATION: 'Strong edge' plays (biggest gap between season avg and book line) are the WORST tier, not the best. M - [model] PROP SIGNAL NOISE: EDGE, REGRESSION, and FADE signal types show extreme day-to-day variance and should not be relied on