Atlanta Hawks 116 @ 122 Cleveland Cavaliers

April 08, 2026 | Rocket Arena | Final

Grade: S Prediction Recap
Winner: Correct

Nailed it. Called the winner and basically the exact score. You're welcome.

ATL CLE Total
Predicted 119 123 243
Actual 116 122 238
Diff +3 +1 +5
Nailed It PTS within 3, REB/AST within 2
Dyson Daniels Pred: 14/7/6 | Actual: 12/7/6
Mouhamed Gueye Pred: 5/4/1 | Actual: 3/5/1
Jarrett Allen Pred: 15/10/1 | Actual: 16/8/0
Missed By a Mile PTS off by 10+
Jonathan Kuminga Pred: 9pts | Actual: 24pts (off by 15)
Jalen Johnson Pred: 24pts | Actual: 12pts (off by 11)
CJ McCollum Pred: 22pts | Actual: 12pts (off by 10)

Atlanta Hawks

Player Pos MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TOV PF FG FG% 3P 3P% FT FT% +/-
Nickeil Alexander-Walker SG 39:14 25 4 2 2 0 4 3 10-19 52.6 4-9 44.4 1-1 100.0 -13.0
Dyson Daniels SF 33:03 12 7 6 2 1 1 6 5-11 45.5 1-3 33.3 1-2 50.0 -5.0
CJ McCollum PG 32:05 12 4 4 2 2 2 2 6-16 37.5 0-3 0.0 0-0 0.0 -4.0
Jalen Johnson PF 33:59 12 11 6 1 0 2 6 4-16 25.0 0-5 0.0 4-4 100.0 -10.0
Onyeka Okongwu C 32:52 18 5 0 0 1 1 2 7-10 70.0 1-2 50.0 3-4 75.0 -33.0
Tony Bradley DNP - Coach's Decision
RayJ Dennis DNP - Inactive
Keshon Gilbert DNP - Inactive
Mouhamed Gueye 16:26 3 5 1 1 2 0 3 1-3 33.3 1-2 50.0 0-0 0.0 25.0
Buddy Hield DNP - Coach's Decision
Corey Kispert 7:16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0-0 0.0 0-0 0.0 0-0 0.0 1.0
Christian Koloko DNP - Coach's Decision
Jonathan Kuminga 30:29 24 6 3 0 0 1 2 11-20 55.0 2-7 28.6 0-1 0.0 9.0
Jock Landale DNP - Inactive
Asa Newell DNP - Coach's Decision
Zaccharie Risacher DNP - Coach's Decision
Gabe Vincent 14:35 10 1 1 0 0 0 1 3-3 100.0 3-3 100.0 1-3 33.3 0.0
Keaton Wallace DNP - Coach's Decision

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player Pos MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TOV PF FG FG% 3P 3P% FT FT% +/-
Donovan Mitchell SG 34:42 31 7 4 0 1 2 2 12-19 63.2 1-4 25.0 6-6 100.0 20.0
Dean Wade SF 21:15 8 4 2 1 1 0 0 3-4 75.0 2-3 66.7 0-0 0.0 12.0
James Harden PG 33:51 21 5 4 2 0 2 2 6-23 26.1 4-10 40.0 5-5 100.0 1.0
Evan Mobley PF 35:39 22 19 3 0 3 1 1 8-15 53.3 0-3 0.0 6-10 60.0 20.0
Jarrett Allen C 29:07 16 8 0 2 0 3 0 4-9 44.4 0-0 0.0 8-11 72.7 3.0
Thomas Bryant DNP - Inactive
Keon Ellis 22:16 5 1 1 0 1 0 1 1-4 25.0 1-4 25.0 2-2 100.0 -2.0
Tristan Enaruna DNP - Inactive
Sam Merrill 27:13 6 0 3 1 0 0 5 2-3 66.7 2-3 66.7 0-0 0.0 0.0
Riley Minix DNP - Coach's Decision
Larry Nance Jr. DNP - Coach's Decision
Craig Porter Jr. DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyrese Proctor DNP - Coach's Decision
Olivier Sarr DNP - Coach's Decision
Dennis Schröder 14:43 5 1 3 0 0 2 2 2-4 50.0 0-1 0.0 1-1 100.0 -22.0
Max Strus 21:14 8 2 2 0 0 1 1 3-7 42.9 2-5 40.0 0-0 0.0 -2.0
Nae'Qwan Tomlin DNP - Coach's Decision
Jaylon Tyson DNP - Inactive
Add Analysis Entry
General Slate Analysis: ATL @ CLE
Apr 08, 2026 at 09:18 AM
**Prediction:** ATL 119 - CLE 123 (CLE by 4, total 243) **Confidence:** 84% **ATL** 45-34 (#5) | Net: 2.5 | Off: 113.2 | Def: 110.7 | Rest: 1d rest **CLE** 50-29 (#4) | Net: 4.2 | Off: 116.4 | Def: 112.2 | Rest: 1d rest Projected pace: 103.3 **Injuries:** ATL: Jock Landale (Out) (impact: -3.0 pts) CLE: Thomas Bryant (Out), Donovan Mitchell (Day-To-Day), Jaylon Tyson (Out), Dean Wade (Out) (impact: -4.5 pts) **Key Players:** ATL: Nickeil Alexander-Walker 25.9p/3.3r/4.1a | Jalen Johnson 23.9p/12.1r/7.7a | CJ McCollum 22.0p/2.7r/5.2a CLE: Donovan Mitchell 27.0p/3.3r/4.9a | James Harden 26.0p/5.0r/10.2a | Evan Mobley 21.3p/11.8r/4.5a **Value Bets:** MONEYLINE CLE -120 (strong, EV $0.549/dollar) MONEYLINE CLE -122 (strong, EV $0.538/dollar) TOTAL OVER 236.5 (moderate, EV $0.287/dollar) **Applicable Insights:** - [model] PROP TRAP: Season-avg-based unders on role players from depleted/tanking teams are unreliable. When star players are out - [model] PROP CALIBRATION: 'Strong edge' plays (biggest gap between season avg and book line) are the WORST tier, not the best. M - [model] PROP SIGNAL NOISE: EDGE, REGRESSION, and FADE signal types show extreme day-to-day variance and should not be relied on