Golden State Warriors 126 @ 121 Los Angeles Clippers

April 15, 2026 | Intuit Dome | Final

Grade: F Prediction Recap
Winner: Wrong

This one didn't go great. We'll get 'em next time.

GSW LAC Total
Predicted 108 119 227
Actual 126 121 247
Diff -18 -2 -20
Nailed It PTS within 3, REB/AST within 2
Gary Payton II Pred: 8/3/2 | Actual: 6/3/1
Kawhi Leonard Pred: 24/7/3 | Actual: 21/7/3
Missed By a Mile PTS off by 10+
Gui Santos Pred: 9pts | Actual: 20pts (off by 10)

Golden State Warriors

Player Pos MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TOV PF FG FG% 3P 3P% FT FT% +/-
Brandin Podziemski SG 40:30 17 7 2 1 1 4 2 5-11 45.5 2-7 28.6 5-8 62.5 10.0
Gui Santos SF 31:50 20 6 5 1 0 5 2 9-13 69.2 2-4 50.0 0-0 0.0 16.0
Stephen Curry PG 35:47 35 1 4 1 0 3 4 12-23 52.2 7-12 58.3 4-5 80.0 9.0
Draymond Green PF 35:19 7 6 9 4 0 3 2 3-5 60.0 1-3 33.3 0-0 0.0 0.0
Kristaps Porziņģis C 27:37 20 5 5 1 2 1 1 8-12 66.7 3-6 50.0 1-3 33.3 -4.0
Charles Bassey DNP - Coach's Decision
Jimmy Butler III DNP - Inactive
Seth Curry DNP - Coach's Decision
Al Horford 22:26 14 3 0 0 0 2 2 5-8 62.5 4-7 57.1 0-0 0.0 -7.0
De'Anthony Melton 22:37 7 5 3 2 0 2 4 3-7 42.9 0-2 0.0 1-2 50.0 -7.0
Moses Moody DNP - Inactive
Gary Payton II 23:52 6 3 1 2 0 0 2 2-4 50.0 0-0 0.0 2-3 66.7 8.0
Quinten Post DNP - Inactive
Will Richard DNP - Coach's Decision
Pat Spencer DNP - Coach's Decision

Los Angeles Clippers

Player Pos MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TOV PF FG FG% 3P 3P% FT FT% +/-
Kris Dunn SG 32:23 7 3 10 3 0 1 4 3-5 60.0 1-2 50.0 0-0 0.0 -9.0
Kawhi Leonard SF 40:15 21 7 3 0 0 5 2 8-17 47.1 1-6 16.7 4-4 100.0 6.0
Darius Garland PG 31:08 21 5 8 1 0 2 6 8-15 53.3 2-4 50.0 3-3 100.0 -9.0
Derrick Jones Jr. PF 22:48 13 2 1 3 1 0 3 5-9 55.6 1-4 25.0 2-2 100.0 -7.0
Brook Lopez C 37:15 17 5 1 2 1 0 2 7-16 43.8 1-6 16.7 2-2 100.0 -7.0
Nicolas Batum DNP - Coach's Decision
Bradley Beal DNP - Inactive
Bogdan Bogdanović DNP - Coach's Decision
Cam Christie DNP - Coach's Decision
John Collins 21:09 11 9 0 2 1 3 0 5-8 62.5 1-3 33.3 0-0 0.0 -4.0
Isaiah Jackson DNP - Coach's Decision
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser DNP - Inactive
Bennedict Mathurin 29:47 23 3 2 3 0 4 3 7-11 63.6 5-6 83.3 4-4 100.0 -4.0
Jordan Miller 14:34 5 2 2 1 0 1 2 1-2 50.0 1-1 100.0 2-2 100.0 0.0
Kobe Sanders 10:39 3 0 3 0 0 1 1 1-3 33.3 1-3 33.3 0-0 0.0 9.0
Add Analysis Entry
General Slate Analysis: GSW @ LAC
Apr 15, 2026 at 05:29 PM
**Prediction:** GSW 108 - LAC 119 (LAC by 11, total 227) **Confidence:** 94% **GSW** 37-42 (#10) | Net: -0.2 | Off: 111.8 | Def: 112.1 | Rest: 2d rest **LAC** 41-38 (#8) | Net: 1.6 | Off: 114.8 | Def: 113.2 | Rest: 2d rest Projected pace: 100.3 **Injuries:** GSW: Stephen Curry (Out) (impact: -6.0 pts) **Key Players:** GSW: Jimmy Butler III 18.9p/5.5r/4.2a | Brandin Podziemski 17.3p/4.0r/3.0a | Kristaps Porziņģis 13.7p/5.8r/1.8a LAC: Kawhi Leonard 24.0p/6.8r/3.3a | Darius Garland 17.9p/2.4r/5.9a | Bennedict Mathurin 15.4p/5.5r/3.8a **Value Bets:** MONEYLINE LAC -215 (strong, EV $0.382/dollar) MONEYLINE LAC -218 (strong, EV $0.376/dollar) TOTAL OVER 220.5 (moderate, EV $0.276/dollar) **Applicable Insights:** - [model] PROP CALIBRATION: 'Strong edge' plays (biggest gap between season avg and book line) are the WORST tier, not the best. M - [model] PROP SIGNAL NOISE: EDGE, REGRESSION, and FADE signal types show extreme day-to-day variance and should not be relied on - [team] GSW without Curry+Butler is unpredictable for props. Role players (Melton, Podziemski, Horford) can explode beyond seaso