Orlando Magic 97 @ 109 Philadelphia 76ers

April 15, 2026 | Xfinity Mobile Arena | Final

Grade: C Prediction Recap
Winner: Correct

Called the winner at least. The scores... we don't talk about the scores.

ORL PHI Total
Predicted 117 121 238
Actual 97 109 206
Diff +20 +12 +32
Nailed It PTS within 3, REB/AST within 2
Jamal Cain Pred: 5/2/1 | Actual: 5/2/1
Tyrese Maxey Pred: 30/3/6 | Actual: 31/2/6
Adem Bona Pred: 4/3/0 | Actual: 2/3/0
Missed By a Mile PTS off by 10+
Desmond Bane Pred: 20pts | Actual: 34pts (off by 13)

Orlando Magic

Player Pos MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TOV PF FG FG% 3P 3P% FT FT% +/-
Desmond Bane SG 39:43 34 3 3 0 1 5 3 10-16 62.5 4-6 66.7 10-11 90.9 -11.0
Franz Wagner SF 29:17 12 4 3 0 0 0 4 5-11 45.5 0-2 0.0 2-2 100.0 1.0
Jalen Suggs PG 37:22 4 6 4 3 0 1 3 1-9 11.1 1-6 16.7 1-1 100.0 -14.0
Paolo Banchero PF 36:03 18 5 4 0 1 6 3 7-22 31.8 0-5 0.0 4-6 66.7 -17.0
Wendell Carter Jr. C 31:54 5 11 1 1 2 0 2 1-7 14.3 0-2 0.0 3-4 75.0 -14.0
Goga Bitadze 15:28 2 2 0 1 0 0 2 1-1 100.0 0-0 0.0 0-0 0.0 2.0
Anthony Black 22:09 13 6 3 0 0 1 3 4-8 50.0 1-4 25.0 4-7 57.1 -2.0
Jamal Cain 14:30 5 2 1 0 0 0 1 2-5 40.0 1-2 50.0 0-0 0.0 -7.0
Jevon Carter DNP - Coach's Decision
Colin Castleton DNP - Coach's Decision
Tristan da Silva 13:32 4 2 0 0 0 1 0 2-2 100.0 0-0 0.0 0-0 0.0 2.0
Jett Howard DNP - Coach's Decision
Jonathan Isaac DNP - Inactive
Alex Morales DNP - Coach's Decision
Noah Penda DNP - Coach's Decision
Jase Richardson DNP - Coach's Decision
Moritz Wagner DNP - Coach's Decision

Philadelphia 76ers

Player Pos MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TOV PF FG FG% 3P 3P% FT FT% +/-
VJ Edgecombe SG 41:55 19 11 1 1 0 4 4 7-16 43.8 1-5 20.0 4-5 80.0 11.0
Kelly Oubre Jr. SF 40:17 19 3 1 1 0 2 3 6-12 50.0 5-10 50.0 2-2 100.0 19.0
Tyrese Maxey PG 42:24 31 2 6 1 1 3 3 11-25 44.0 3-9 33.3 6-8 75.0 11.0
Paul George PF 35:57 16 5 5 2 0 0 4 6-16 37.5 1-6 16.7 3-4 75.0 16.0
Adem Bona C 16:07 2 3 0 0 3 0 3 0-1 0.0 0-0 0.0 2-2 100.0 3.0
Dominick Barlow 9:59 4 2 0 0 1 2 5 2-4 50.0 0-1 0.0 0-0 0.0 -6.0
MarJon Beauchamp DNP - Coach's Decision
Johni Broome DNP - Inactive
Andre Drummond 31:27 14 10 2 3 3 0 2 5-8 62.5 2-3 66.7 2-2 100.0 9.0
Justin Edwards DNP - Coach's Decision
Joel Embiid DNP - Inactive
Quentin Grimes 21:52 4 4 2 0 1 0 3 1-3 33.3 0-1 0.0 2-2 100.0 -3.0
Kyle Lowry DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyrese Martin DNP - Coach's Decision
Dalen Terry DNP - Coach's Decision
Jabari Walker DNP - Coach's Decision
Trendon Watford DNP - Coach's Decision
Add Analysis Entry
General Slate Analysis: ORL @ PHI
Apr 15, 2026 at 05:29 PM
**Prediction:** ORL 117 - PHI 121 (PHI by 4, total 238) **Confidence:** 85% **ORL** 43-36 (#8) | Net: 0.3 | Off: 111.6 | Def: 111.3 | Rest: 2d rest **PHI** 43-36 (#7) | Net: -0.4 | Off: 112.6 | Def: 113.0 | Rest: 2d rest Projected pace: 102.3 **Injuries:** ORL: Jalen Suggs (Out) (impact: -3.0 pts) PHI: Paul George (Out), Trendon Watford (Day-To-Day) (impact: -3.1 pts) **Key Players:** ORL: Paolo Banchero 23.3p/9.8r/6.1a | Franz Wagner 20.7p/4.5r/2.9a | Desmond Bane 20.4p/3.4r/4.1a PHI: Tyrese Maxey 30.4p/3.2r/5.7a | Joel Embiid 26.9p/9.9r/3.4a | VJ Edgecombe 18.1p/6.4r/6.2a **Value Bets:** MONEYLINE PHI -124 (strong, EV $0.534/dollar) MONEYLINE PHI -130 (strong, EV $0.502/dollar) TOTAL OVER 223.5 (strong, EV $0.464/dollar) **Applicable Insights:** - [model] PROP TRAP: Season-avg-based unders on role players from depleted/tanking teams are unreliable. When star players are out - [model] PROP CALIBRATION: 'Strong edge' plays (biggest gap between season avg and book line) are the WORST tier, not the best. M - [model] PROP SIGNAL NOISE: EDGE, REGRESSION, and FADE signal types show extreme day-to-day variance and should not be relied on