Oklahoma City Thunder 128 @ 110 Los Angeles Clippers

April 08, 2026 | Intuit Dome | Final

Grade: S Prediction Recap
Winner: Correct

Nailed it. Called the winner and basically the exact score. You're welcome.

OKC LAC Total
Predicted 125 108 233
Actual 128 110 238
Diff -3 -2 -5
Nailed It PTS within 3, REB/AST within 2
Cam Christie Pred: 2/1/0 | Actual: 2/0/0
Luguentz Dort Pred: 7/2/1 | Actual: 6/2/0
TyTy Washington Jr. Pred: 1/1/1 | Actual: 0/0/2
Jaylin Williams Pred: 4/5/2 | Actual: 5/4/1
Kawhi Leonard Pred: 21/7/4 | Actual: 20/8/3
Missed By a Mile PTS off by 10+
Chet Holmgren Pred: 13pts | Actual: 30pts (off by 16)
Kobe Sanders Pred: 6pts | Actual: 17pts (off by 10)

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player Pos MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TOV PF FG FG% 3P 3P% FT FT% +/-
Luguentz Dort SG 20:02 6 2 0 3 0 0 3 2-4 50.0 2-4 50.0 0-0 0.0 12.0
Jalen Williams SF 32:21 18 6 6 2 0 3 3 7-12 58.3 0-1 0.0 4-4 100.0 13.0
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander PG 30:17 20 1 11 1 1 3 1 9-17 52.9 2-6 33.3 0-1 0.0 10.0
Chet Holmgren PF 31:14 30 14 5 2 4 2 3 10-13 76.9 3-4 75.0 7-10 70.0 19.0
Isaiah Hartenstein C 19:31 10 7 1 0 1 0 5 4-5 80.0 0-0 0.0 2-2 100.0 14.0
Brooks Barnhizer DNP - Inactive
Branden Carlson DNP - Coach's Decision
Alex Caruso 13:25 2 4 0 0 0 0 2 1-3 33.3 0-2 0.0 0-0 0.0 5.0
Isaiah Joe 22:50 21 2 2 0 0 0 2 6-9 66.7 4-7 57.1 5-5 100.0 10.0
Jared McCain 3:50 4 0 0 0 0 2 0 2-3 66.7 0-1 0.0 0-0 0.0 -3.0
Ajay Mitchell 24:14 7 1 3 1 0 0 1 3-6 50.0 0-1 0.0 1-2 50.0 14.0
Payton Sandfort DNP - Inactive
Thomas Sorber DNP - Inactive
Nikola Topić DNP - Coach's Decision
Cason Wallace 21:00 3 2 1 0 1 2 1 1-6 16.7 1-5 20.0 0-0 0.0 2.0
Aaron Wiggins 3:50 2 1 0 0 0 1 1 1-1 100.0 0-0 0.0 0-0 0.0 -3.0
Jaylin Williams 13:35 5 4 1 0 0 0 1 2-4 50.0 1-3 33.3 0-0 0.0 0.0
Kenrich Williams 3:50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0-0 0.0 0-0 0.0 0-0 0.0 -3.0

Los Angeles Clippers

Player Pos MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TOV PF FG FG% 3P 3P% FT FT% +/-
Derrick Jones Jr. SG 30:17 11 5 1 0 1 1 1 4-9 44.4 2-5 40.0 1-2 50.0 -10.0
Kawhi Leonard SF 30:00 20 8 3 1 0 3 2 8-18 44.4 2-5 40.0 2-4 50.0 -10.0
Kris Dunn PG 26:53 3 1 6 0 0 1 2 1-7 14.3 1-4 25.0 0-0 0.0 -24.0
John Collins PF 27:26 12 9 3 3 0 3 2 5-11 45.5 1-3 33.3 1-3 33.3 -16.0
Brook Lopez C 30:23 16 6 3 0 0 1 4 6-12 50.0 3-5 60.0 1-3 33.3 -29.0
Nicolas Batum 4:51 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 1-1 100.0 1-1 100.0 0-0 0.0 -2.0
Bradley Beal DNP - Inactive
Bogdan Bogdanović DNP - Coach's Decision
Cam Christie 6:32 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1-1 100.0 0-0 0.0 0-0 0.0 5.0
Darius Garland DNP - Inactive
Isaiah Jackson DNP - Inactive
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser DNP - Inactive
Bennedict Mathurin 23:55 10 2 2 1 0 2 1 3-8 37.5 0-1 0.0 4-4 100.0 -5.0
Jordan Miller 29:37 16 3 6 0 0 1 1 6-11 54.5 1-4 25.0 3-4 75.0 -6.0
Norchad Omier DNP - Coach's Decision
Sean Pedulla DNP - Coach's Decision
Kobe Sanders 23:32 17 2 1 2 1 1 2 5-8 62.5 3-4 75.0 4-4 100.0 2.0
TyTy Washington Jr. 6:32 0 0 2 2 1 0 1 0-0 0.0 0-0 0.0 0-0 0.0 5.0
Add Analysis Entry
General Slate Analysis: OKC @ LAC
Apr 08, 2026 at 09:18 AM
**Prediction:** OKC 125 - LAC 108 (OKC by 17, total 233) **Confidence:** 96% **OKC** 63-16 (#1) | Net: 11.7 | Off: 116.5 | Def: 104.8 | Rest: B2B **LAC** 41-38 (#8) | Net: 1.6 | Off: 114.8 | Def: 113.2 | Rest: B2B Projected pace: 100.2 **Injuries:** OKC: Thomas Sorber (Out), Jalen Williams (Day-To-Day) (impact: -0.9 pts) LAC: Bradley Beal (Out), Isaiah Jackson (Day-To-Day), Yanic Konan Niederhäuser (Out) (impact: -1.3 pts) **Key Players:** OKC: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 28.5p/3.8r/6.5a | Chet Holmgren 13.4p/7.3r/1.2a | Jalen Williams 13.3p/3.1r/4.3a LAC: Kawhi Leonard 21.0p/6.8r/3.6a | Bennedict Mathurin 17.2p/5.7r/1.9a | Darius Garland 16.4p/2.0r/6.1a **Value Bets:** SPREAD OKC -7.5 (strong, EV $0.570/dollar) SPREAD OKC -7.0 (strong, EV $0.541/dollar) MONEYLINE OKC -250 (strong, EV $0.345/dollar) **Applicable Insights:** - [model] PROP TRAP: Season-avg-based unders on role players from depleted/tanking teams are unreliable. When star players are out - [model] PROP CALIBRATION: 'Strong edge' plays (biggest gap between season avg and book line) are the WORST tier, not the best. M - [model] PROP SIGNAL NOISE: EDGE, REGRESSION, and FADE signal types show extreme day-to-day variance and should not be relied on