Minnesota Timberwolves 120 @ 132 Orlando Magic

April 08, 2026 | Kia Center | Final

Grade: C Prediction Recap
Winner: Correct

Called the winner at least. The scores... we don't talk about the scores.

MIN ORL Total
Predicted 109 113 222
Actual 120 132 252
Diff -11 -19 -30
Nailed It PTS within 3, REB/AST within 2
Moritz Wagner Pred: 6/3/1 | Actual: 4/4/1
Colin Castleton Pred: 1/2/0 | Actual: 0/1/0
Jamal Cain Pred: 6/2/1 | Actual: 8/2/1
Missed By a Mile PTS off by 10+
Terrence Shannon Jr. Pred: 3pts | Actual: 33pts (off by 29)

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player Pos MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TOV PF FG FG% 3P 3P% FT FT% +/-
Joe Ingles SG 18:20 7 4 4 1 0 2 0 3-4 75.0 1-2 50.0 0-0 0.0 0.0
Jaden McDaniels SF 19:19 18 2 2 1 0 2 1 8-16 50.0 1-5 20.0 1-2 50.0 -13.0
Donte DiVincenzo PG 21:04 12 0 2 0 0 1 3 4-7 57.1 4-7 57.1 0-0 0.0 -15.0
Kyle Anderson PF 23:52 8 7 2 2 2 1 2 3-5 60.0 0-1 0.0 2-2 100.0 -25.0
Naz Reid C 24:06 15 5 2 3 2 1 1 6-11 54.5 1-5 20.0 2-3 66.7 4.0
Joan Beringer 22:47 9 8 1 0 2 1 5 4-10 40.0 0-0 0.0 1-1 100.0 -5.0
Jaylen Clark 32:53 3 2 4 2 0 0 3 1-6 16.7 1-4 25.0 0-0 0.0 4.0
Mike Conley DNP - Inactive
Ayo Dosunmu DNP - Inactive
Anthony Edwards DNP - Inactive
Enrique Freeman DNP - Coach's Decision
Rudy Gobert DNP - Inactive
Bones Hyland 22:42 9 1 0 1 1 5 1 3-8 37.5 3-7 42.9 0-0 0.0 -6.0
Julian Phillips 23:47 6 2 0 0 0 1 2 2-9 22.2 2-6 33.3 0-0 0.0 -2.0
Zyon Pullin DNP - Coach's Decision
Julius Randle DNP - Inactive
Terrence Shannon Jr. 31:10 33 2 5 0 0 2 2 11-14 78.6 5-7 71.4 6-6 100.0 -2.0
Rocco Zikarsky DNP - Coach's Decision

Orlando Magic

Player Pos MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TOV PF FG FG% 3P 3P% FT FT% +/-
Desmond Bane SG 29:42 18 4 6 1 0 4 3 7-13 53.8 1-4 25.0 3-3 100.0 22.0
Franz Wagner SF 21:37 17 0 2 0 1 2 1 7-13 53.8 1-2 50.0 2-2 100.0 20.0
Jalen Suggs PG 25:15 11 0 4 2 0 2 0 4-6 66.7 3-5 60.0 0-0 0.0 13.0
Paolo Banchero PF 29:27 20 8 6 1 0 2 0 8-11 72.7 1-1 100.0 3-5 60.0 12.0
Wendell Carter Jr. C 19:38 4 7 1 0 1 1 2 2-5 40.0 0-1 0.0 0-2 0.0 1.0
Goga Bitadze 21:44 14 15 6 1 0 1 2 6-11 54.5 0-0 0.0 2-2 100.0 21.0
Anthony Black 16:04 7 5 2 0 2 3 5 1-4 25.0 0-2 0.0 5-6 83.3 7.0
Jamal Cain 16:17 8 2 1 0 0 0 1 3-8 37.5 1-3 33.3 1-1 100.0 0.0
Jevon Carter 15:20 11 0 2 0 0 0 0 4-4 100.0 3-3 100.0 0-0 0.0 7.0
Colin Castleton 3:13 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0-0 0.0 0-0 0.0 0-0 0.0 -7.0
Tristan da Silva 19:42 12 2 2 0 1 0 0 5-9 55.6 2-5 40.0 0-0 0.0 0.0
Jett Howard DNP - Inactive
Jonathan Isaac DNP - Inactive
Alex Morales 4:32 6 0 0 0 0 1 2 2-3 66.7 0-0 0.0 2-2 100.0 -10.0
Noah Penda 6:41 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0-1 0.0 0-0 0.0 0-0 0.0 -8.0
Jase Richardson 4:10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0-1 0.0 0-1 0.0 0-0 0.0 -8.0
Moritz Wagner 6:38 4 4 1 0 0 0 1 2-6 33.3 0-2 0.0 0-0 0.0 -10.0
Add Analysis Entry
General Slate Analysis: MIN @ ORL
Apr 08, 2026 at 09:18 AM
**Prediction:** MIN 109 - ORL 113 (ORL by 4, total 222) **Confidence:** 78% **MIN** 47-32 (#6) | Net: 3.4 | Off: 113.7 | Def: 110.3 | Rest: B2B **ORL** 43-36 (#8) | Net: 0.3 | Off: 111.6 | Def: 111.3 | Rest: 1d rest Projected pace: 102.8 **Injuries:** MIN: Anthony Edwards (Day-To-Day), Jaden McDaniels (Out) (impact: -3.9 pts) ORL: Jamal Cain (Day-To-Day), Wendell Carter Jr. (Day-To-Day), Jett Howard (Out), Jonathan Isaac (Out), Jalen Suggs (Out) (impact: -3.9 pts) **Key Players:** MIN: Anthony Edwards 24.6p/3.2r/2.9a | Julius Randle 17.4p/6.9r/3.3a | Ayo Dosunmu 15.9p/3.8r/4.3a ORL: Desmond Bane 25.6p/4.0r/4.2a | Paolo Banchero 23.1p/11.2r/4.7a | Franz Wagner 14.7p/4.0r/2.6a **Value Bets:** TOTAL UNDER 229.5 (moderate, EV $0.312/dollar) TOTAL UNDER 229.5 (moderate, EV $0.301/dollar) MONEYLINE ORL -220 (moderate, EV $0.132/dollar) **Applicable Insights:** - [model] PROP TRAP: Season-avg-based unders on role players from depleted/tanking teams are unreliable. When star players are out - [model] PROP CALIBRATION: 'Strong edge' plays (biggest gap between season avg and book line) are the WORST tier, not the best. M - [model] PROP SIGNAL NOISE: EDGE, REGRESSION, and FADE signal types show extreme day-to-day variance and should not be relied on