New York Knicks 93 @ 92 Brooklyn Nets

March 20, 2026 | Barclays Center | Final

Grade: C Prediction Recap
Winner: Correct

Called the winner at least. The scores... we don't talk about the scores.

NYK BKN Total
Predicted 118 98 216
Actual 93 92 185
Diff +25 +6 +31
Nailed It PTS within 3, REB/AST within 2
Danny Wolf Pred: 9/6/2 | Actual: 8/6/2
Ochai Agbaji Pred: 7/3/1 | Actual: 8/4/1
Jordan Clarkson Pred: 11/2/2 | Actual: 9/1/2
Missed By a Mile PTS off by 10+
Josh Minott Pred: 9pts | Actual: 22pts (off by 12)
Jalen Brunson Pred: 29pts | Actual: 17pts (off by 11)

New York Knicks

Player Pos MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TOV PF FG FG% 3P 3P% FT FT% +/-
Landry Shamet SG 21:37 3 3 1 2 1 0 1 1-5 20.0 1-4 25.0 0-0 0.0 5.0
Mikal Bridges SF 35:55 9 7 2 0 0 1 1 3-7 42.9 1-2 50.0 2-2 100.0 -7.0
Jalen Brunson PG 40:38 17 5 8 2 0 3 1 7-19 36.8 1-6 16.7 2-4 50.0 9.0
OG Anunoby PF 35:05 16 3 1 2 1 4 2 7-13 53.8 1-6 16.7 1-2 50.0 14.0
Karl-Anthony Towns C 28:36 26 15 1 1 0 4 4 7-16 43.8 1-3 33.3 11-13 84.6 7.0
Jose Alvarado 13:01 2 1 2 1 0 2 2 1-5 20.0 0-2 0.0 0-0 0.0 -11.0
Jordan Clarkson 21:47 9 1 2 1 0 0 1 2-5 40.0 1-2 50.0 4-4 100.0 -10.0
Pacôme Dadiet DNP - Coach's Decision
Mohamed Diawara 19:28 8 7 5 0 0 1 0 2-4 50.0 2-4 50.0 2-2 100.0 10.0
Josh Hart DNP - Inactive
Ariel Hukporti DNP - Coach's Decision
Trey Jemison III DNP - Inactive
Dillon Jones DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Kolek 0:02 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0-0 0.0 0-0 0.0 0-0 0.0 1.0
Miles McBride DNP - Inactive
Kevin McCullar Jr. DNP - Inactive
Mitchell Robinson 23:49 3 10 0 1 3 2 3 1-2 50.0 0-0 0.0 1-5 20.0 -13.0
Jeremy Sochan DNP - Coach's Decision

Brooklyn Nets

Player Pos MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TOV PF FG FG% 3P 3P% FT FT% +/-
Drake Powell SG 24:36 2 3 2 0 0 0 1 1-4 25.0 0-1 0.0 0-0 0.0 -12.0
Ziaire Williams SF 25:17 17 4 1 1 0 0 2 6-10 60.0 2-4 50.0 3-3 100.0 -2.0
Nolan Traore PG 23:59 11 2 7 1 2 4 6 3-11 27.3 1-3 33.3 4-4 100.0 -2.0
Danny Wolf PF 24:21 8 6 2 1 0 1 6 3-12 25.0 2-7 28.6 0-0 0.0 -5.0
Nic Claxton C 21:43 8 7 0 0 0 2 2 4-7 57.1 0-0 0.0 0-0 0.0 -5.0
Ochai Agbaji 23:54 8 4 1 0 0 0 0 3-10 30.0 2-7 28.6 0-0 0.0 13.0
Noah Clowney DNP - Inactive
Egor Dëmin DNP - Inactive
Tyson Etienne DNP - Coach's Decision
Chaney Johnson 24:26 4 4 6 3 2 1 4 1-6 16.7 0-5 0.0 2-2 100.0 3.0
E.J. Liddell DNP - Coach's Decision
Terance Mann DNP - Inactive
Josh Minott 25:46 22 5 2 1 2 3 4 8-13 61.5 6-9 66.7 0-0 0.0 8.0
Michael Porter Jr. DNP - Inactive
Ben Saraf 27:23 5 3 3 1 0 4 3 2-9 22.2 0-1 0.0 1-1 100.0 -6.0
Day'Ron Sharpe DNP - Inactive
Jalen Wilson DNP - Coach's Decision
Add Analysis Entry
General Post-Game Review: NYK @ BKN
Mar 21, 2026 at 08:56 AM
**Grade: C** — Got the winner at least. **Result:** NYK 93 - BKN 92 (Winner: NYK ✓) **Prediction:** NYK 118 - BKN 98 Score error: 25/6 | Total: pred 216, actual 185 (-31) **Standout Players:** Jalen Brunson (NYK): 17p actual vs 28.8p pred (+11.8) Josh Minott (BKN): 22p actual vs 9.4p pred (-12.6) **Value Bet Results:** ✗ SPREAD NYK -17.5 — LOST ✗ SPREAD NYK -17.5 — LOST
General Slate Analysis: NYK @ BKN
Mar 20, 2026 at 04:32 PM
**Prediction:** NYK 118 - BKN 97 (NYK by 20, total 215) **Confidence:** 96% **NYK** 34-19 (#2) | Net: 5.5 | Off: 116.8 | Def: 111.3 | Rest: 2d rest **BKN** 15-37 (#13) | Net: -7.3 | Off: 107.7 | Def: 115.0 | Rest: 1d rest Projected pace: 99.7 **Injuries:** NYK: Josh Hart (Out), Miles McBride (Out), Karl-Anthony Towns (Day-To-Day) (impact: -5.3 pts) BKN: Noah Clowney (Out), Egor Dëmin (Out), Terance Mann (Out), Michael Porter Jr. (Out), Day'Ron Sharpe (Out) (impact: -9.2 pts) **Key Players:** NYK: Jalen Brunson 28.8p/3.3r/7.8a | Karl-Anthony Towns 24.7p/12.0r/2.9a | OG Anunoby 18.1p/5.7r/2.9a BKN: Ziaire Williams 11.2p/2.8r/1.0a | Nic Claxton 10.7p/8.4r/3.2a | Chaney Johnson 9.9p/6.3r/2.1a **Value Bets:** SPREAD NYK -17.5 (slight, EV $0.098/dollar) SPREAD NYK -17.5 (slight, EV $0.088/dollar) **Applicable Insights:** - [model] PROP TRAP: Season-avg-based unders on role players from depleted/tanking teams are unreliable. When star players are out - [model] PROP CALIBRATION: 'Strong edge' plays (biggest gap between season avg and book line) are the WORST tier, not the best. M - [model] PROP SIGNAL NOISE: EDGE, REGRESSION, and FADE signal types show extreme day-to-day variance and should not be relied on - [model] USAGE BOOST OVERCORRECTION (Mar 6): First night with usage adjustment. Props 25/64 (39%). Big-boost (>25%) plays 11/28 ( - [model] BLOWOUT MINUTES KILL PROPS: NYK@DEN 142-103 — Murray played 17:36 (adj avg 33.9, actual 12p). Brunson 33:48 but only 9p - [model] 3PM PROPS CATASTROPHIC (Mar 6): 3/15 (20%) hit rate. Usage boost inflates 3PM predictions but shooting is high-variance - [model] GAME MARGIN vs PROP CORRELATION (Mar 6): POR@HOU 7pt game: 7/12 props (58%). LAC@SAS 4pt: 3/9 (33%). IND@LAL 11pt: 3/6 ( - [model] OVER BIAS EXTREME (Mar 6): 62/65 props were OVERs (95%). Usage adjustment inflates all averages upward, turning everythi - [model] TOTAL UNDER SYSTEMATIC MISS (Mar 6): Under bets went 2/7. Avg predicted total 218, avg actual 235 — off by +17. Depleted - [model] GAME PREDICTIONS STRONG (Mar 6): 6/7 winners (86%), value bets 22/32 (69%). NYK ML best bet hit massively (142-103). Mod - [model] Mar 6 calibration changes validated: props improved from 39% (Mar 6) to 54.8% (Mar 7) after reducing PROP_USAGE_CONFIDEN - [model] Close game prop thesis confirmed 2 nights running: LAC@MEM (pred margin 3, actual margin 3) went 6/8 (75%) on props. Com - [model] Big usage boost (>25%) still underperforms at 36% (4/11) on Mar 7. Keyonte George had +60% boost (adj avg 38.5, scored 2 - [model] REGRESSION_OVER signal hit only 38% (3/8) on Mar 7 vs SEASON_EDGE at 61% (14/23). Two nights of data now show regression - [model] Mar 7 game predictions 4/6 (67%). Two F grades: ORL@MIN predicted MIN by 9, ORL won by 27 (36pt error). BKN@DET predicte - [model] Blowout discount working correctly: BKN@DET (pred margin 18) had 0 prop plays filtered out entirely. Mar 6 NYK@DEN (pred